National Weather Service

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 58 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 38 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Hi 54 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

Lo 44 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers

Hi 51 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Rain Showers
Rain Showers

Lo 43 °F
Friday

Friday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers

Hi 47 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain Showers
Rain Showers

Lo 32 °F

Soleil Weather Forecast

This
afternoon
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
High: 62°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 31°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 60°
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 38°
Thursday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 49°
Thursday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 46°
Friday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 47°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 31°
>

WxSim (Soleil Laurel Canyon) & NWS Forecast Comparison for Accuracy

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 8:55 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   50 49   24 65   54 47   26 65   56 49   29 66   53 47   36
11-18-14 72 32.3 35 49 16.7 13 67   46 49   20 65   47 47   21 64   56 49   26
11-17-14 72 31.2 50 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 33 49 16.7 15 68   46 49   20 66   49 48   23
11-16-14 70 31.2 66 45 43.7 45 74 31.2 49 46 22.8 26 74 32.3 33 51 16.7 19 68   45 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 50 47 36.2 31 69 31.2 43 46 43.7 33 72 31.2 40 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 40 50 16.7 21
11-14-14 69 31.2 47 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 51 48 36.2 29 70 31.2 45 46 43.7 34 72 31.2 41 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 51 49 22.6 25 68 31.2 51 48 24.4 24 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 31 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 34
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 49 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 48 68 31.2 62 47 24.4 47 69 31.2 61 49 36.2 46
11-11-14 66 31.2 69 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 61 51 36.1 50 69 31.2 65 50 22.6 51 69 31.2 66 47 24.4 51
11-10-14 74 31.2 65 52 45.3 37 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 67 31.2 60 51 36.1 47 68 31.2 64 50 22.6 49
11-09-14 79 31.2 68 52 33.5 36 75 31.2 72 50 45.3 37 67 31.2 69 50 47.7 37 68 31.2 62 51 36.1 48
11-08-14 80 31.2 57 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 66 52 33.5 33 77 31.2 70 50 45.3 35 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 65 51 31.7 38 80 31.2 61 52 35.9 35 80 31.2 67 52 33.5 33 76 31.2 70 51 45.3 35
11-06-14 76 31.2 62 53 38.0 42 75 31.2 67 52 31.7 42 78 31.2 60 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 67 52 33.5 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 15.4   15.4     8.3     33.3     9.1     27.3     0.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   4.9 40.7   25.7 16.4   7.9 40.6   25.4 16.6   9.3 39.8   27.0 16.6   11.5
Net Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   -0.4 40.7   25.7 16.4   1.0 40.6   25.4 16.6   2.6 39.8   27.0 16.6   5.0
Std Dev 12.1   12.4 10.1   3.6 17.1   15.1 11.4   7.4 21.4   17.2 12.8   9.3 25.2   19.6 13.5   10.7

Afternoon Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 2:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   47 49   24 65   53 47   26 65   55 49   28 66   51 47   35
11-18-14 72 32.3 33 49 16.7 10 67   45 49   21 65   51 47   23 64   55 49   27
11-17-14 72 32.3 40 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 34 49 16.7 13 68   47 49   20 66   50 48   24
11-16-14 70 31.2 58 45 43.7 38 74 32.3 46 46 22.8 21 74 32.3 30 51 16.7 16 68   44 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 45 47 36.2 26 69 31.2 45 46 43.7 38 72 32.3 47 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 41 50 16.7 22
11-14-14 69 31.2 40 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 54 48 36.2 28 70 31.2 47 46 43.7 40 72 32.3 49 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 41 49 22.6 22 68 31.2 48 48 24.4 22 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 27 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 39
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 39 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 33 68 31.2 51 47 24.4 24 69 31.2 54 49 36.2 32
11-11-14 66 31.2 71 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 69 31.2 58 50 22.6 40 69 31.2 56 47 24.4 39
11-10-14 74 31.2 69 52 45.3 34 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 35 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 68 31.2 58 50 22.6 40
11-09-14 79 31.2 66 52 33.5 34 75 31.2 66 50 45.3 34 67 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 68 31.2 65 51 36.1 42
11-08-14 80 31.2 62 52 35.9 34 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 31 77 31.2 66 50 45.3 33 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 56 51 31.7 30 80 31.2 58 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 30 76 31.2 65 51 45.3 32
11-06-14 76 31.2 70 53 38.0 38 75 31.2 63 52 31.7 35 78 31.2 61 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 65 52 33.5 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 2
% Succ     7.7 15.4   46.2     8.3     8.3     0.0     36.4     0.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   4.3 40.6   24.6 16.4   5.9 40.5   24.3 16.6   6.0 39.7   25.1 16.6   8.0
Net Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   -3.7 40.6   24.6 16.4   -2.6 40.5   23.9 16.6   -1.5 39.7   25.1 16.6   0.9
Std Dev 12.0   14.1 10.1   3.8 17.0   14.3 11.4   4.2 21.3   15.6 12.8   5.9 25.1   17.3 13.5   6.8